Denis Shapovalov vs Pablo Carreno-Busta — Head to Head

Denis Shapovalov leads the head-to-head 0–1 against Pablo Carreno-Busta since 2025 across 1 meetings. Upcoming context: ATP Wimbledon - 1/64-finals, ATP Wimbledon - 1/64-finals, grass court, 2026-06-29. Match odds (Pncl): Denis Shapovalov 1.32, Pablo Carreno-Busta 3.66.

H2H Record: Shapovalov vs Carreno-Busta

  • Denis Shapovalov 0–1 Pablo Carreno-Busta since 2025 (1 meetings).
  • 2026-02-24 — Dubai (Dubai - 1/16-finals), hard: 6-2 6-4. Winner: Pablo Carreno-Busta.

Shapovalov Recent Form

  • Denis Shapovalov recent form (last 5 singles, 2025+): 1 wins, 4 losses — L, W, L, L, L

Carreno-Busta Recent Form

  • Pablo Carreno-Busta recent form (last 5 singles, 2025+): 4 wins, 1 losses — L, W, W, W, W

Match Preview — ATP Wimbledon - 1/64-finals June 29, 2026

  • Denis Shapovalov leads the head-to-head 0–1 against Pablo Carreno-Busta since 2025 across 1 meetings. Upcoming context: ATP Wimbledon - 1/64-finals, ATP Wimbledon - 1/64-finals, grass court, 2026-06-29. Match odds (Pncl): Denis Shapovalov 1.32, Pablo Carreno-Busta 3.66.
  • 1st Serve In: Shapovalov 54.8%, Carreno-Busta 68.7%
  • Aces / match: Shapovalov 4.9, Carreno-Busta 3.4
  • BP Saved: Shapovalov 21%, Carreno-Busta 24.9%
  • BP Converted: Shapovalov 16.2%, Carreno-Busta 25%
  • Return Pts Won: Shapovalov 33.4%, Carreno-Busta 36%
  • Service Pts Won: Shapovalov 58.6%, Carreno-Busta 62.7%
  • Winners / match: Shapovalov 23.4, Carreno-Busta 25.1
  • Unforced Errors / match: Shapovalov 34.9, Carreno-Busta 29.9
  • 1st serve in: Shapovalov 54.8%, Carreno-Busta 68.7%
  • aces per match: Shapovalov 4.9, Carreno-Busta 3.4
  • break points saved: Shapovalov 21%, Carreno-Busta 24.9%
  • break points converted: Shapovalov 16.2%, Carreno-Busta 25%
  • return points won: Shapovalov 33.4%, Carreno-Busta 36%
  • service points won: Shapovalov 58.6%, Carreno-Busta 62.7%
  • Dominance Score: Shapovalov -7.8, Carreno-Busta -1.8
  • Break Point Efficiency: Shapovalov -62.8, Carreno-Busta -50.1

Head-to-Head metrics (per match average, last 10)

  • 1st Serve In: Shapovalov 54.8%, Carreno-Busta 68.7%
  • Aces / match: Shapovalov 4.9, Carreno-Busta 3.4
  • BP Saved: Shapovalov 21%, Carreno-Busta 24.9%
  • BP Converted: Shapovalov 16.2%, Carreno-Busta 25%
  • Return Pts Won: Shapovalov 33.4%, Carreno-Busta 36%
  • Service Pts Won: Shapovalov 58.6%, Carreno-Busta 62.7%
  • Winners / match: Shapovalov 23.4, Carreno-Busta 25.1
  • Unforced Errors / match: Shapovalov 34.9, Carreno-Busta 29.9

Performance profile (last 10 matches average)

  • 1st serve in: Shapovalov 54.8%, Carreno-Busta 68.7%
  • aces per match: Shapovalov 4.9, Carreno-Busta 3.4
  • break points saved: Shapovalov 21%, Carreno-Busta 24.9%
  • break points converted: Shapovalov 16.2%, Carreno-Busta 25%
  • return points won: Shapovalov 33.4%, Carreno-Busta 36%
  • service points won: Shapovalov 58.6%, Carreno-Busta 62.7%

Match control

  • Dominance Score: Shapovalov -7.8, Carreno-Busta -1.8
  • Break Point Efficiency: Shapovalov -62.8, Carreno-Busta -50.1

Rivalry momentum

  • After 2026-02-24: Shapovalov 0 wins, Carreno-Busta 1 wins in the rivalry.

Surface breakdown

  • hard court H2H: Shapovalov 0, Carreno-Busta 1

Key rivalry stats

  • Tiebreak sets won: Shapovalov 1, Carreno-Busta 2.
  • Deciding-set wins: Shapovalov 1, Carreno-Busta 3.

Match history since 2025

Denis Shapovalov vs Pablo Carreno-Busta direct meetings
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceScoreWinner
2026-02-24DubaiDubai - 1/16-finalshard6-2 6-4Pablo Carreno-Busta
27yrs
185cm
Lefthand
1,130pts
0:1

H2H since 2025 · 1 meetings

hard 01
34yrs
834pts

Head-to-Head Metrics

Per match averages · last 10 · since 2025

54.8%1st Serve In68.7%lead
lead4.9Aces / match3.4
21%BP Saved24.9%lead
16.2%BP Converted25%lead
33.4%Return Pts Won36%lead
58.6%Service Pts Won62.7%lead
23.4Winners / match25.1lead
lead34.9Unforced Errors / match29.9

Odds Movement

Pinnacle · current line

All lines today
CanadaShapovalov0.0%

Open → Now

1.321.32

Implied Δ

+0.0pp

SpainCarreno-Busta0.0%

Open → Now

3.663.66

Implied Δ

+0.0pp

Moneyline drift

waiting for snapshots

Shapovalov · Carreno-Busta

Performance Profile

Last 10 matches avg · since 2025

ShapovalovCarreno-Busta

Match Control

Pressure & control · last 10 matches · since 2025

Dominance Score

Shapovalov
-7.8
Carreno-Busta
-1.8

Break Point Efficiency

Shapovalov
-62.8
Carreno-Busta
-50.1

Form Momentum

Cumulative singles wins · last 10 · since 2025

Shapovalov: 3WCarreno-Busta: 6W

Surface Form

W–L on each court · last 10 singles · since 2025

Grasstoday
12 · 00
1
0
33% A
Clay
25 · 64
2
6
60% B

Surface Breakdown

H2H wins by court · since 2025

Hard
1 meetings
0
1
100% B

Shapovalov vs Carreno-Busta Preview

Match Overview

Shapovalov, ranked 41, will face Carreno-Busta, ranked 71, in the 1/64-finals of ATP Wimbledon on June 29, 2026. Shapovalov is from Canada and plays with a left hand, while Carreno-Busta is from Spain. This match will be played on grass.

Head-to-Head History

Carreno-Busta leads the head-to-head against Shapovalov with one win and zero losses in the dataset. Their most recent encounter was on February 24, 2026, at the Dubai tournament on hard court, where Carreno-Busta won 6-2 6-4.

Surface Analysis

This match is scheduled on grass. In recent singles tracked in the 2025+ dataset, Shapovalov is 1–2 and Carreno-Busta is 0–0 on grass. They have not met on grass in the listed head-to-head meetings.

Current Form

Shapovalov has a recent form of 1 win and 4 losses, with a current losing streak of 1 match. Carreno-Busta has a recent form of 4 wins and 1 loss, also with a current losing streak of 1 match. Carreno-Busta has won 80% of his recent matches, compared to Shapovalov's 20%.

Key Factors

  • Carreno-Busta has a higher first serve percentage at 68.7% compared to Shapovalov's 54.8%.
  • Shapovalov averages 4.9 aces per match, while Carreno-Busta averages 3.4 aces per match.
  • Carreno-Busta has a better break points converted percentage at 25% compared to Shapovalov's 16.2%.
  • Carreno-Busta wins 62.7% of his service points, while Shapovalov wins 58.6% of his service points.
  • Shapovalov averages 34.9 unforced errors per match, while Carreno-Busta averages 29.9 unforced errors per match.