Madison Keys vs Karolina Muchova Head-to-Head Stats
Madison Keys leads the head-to-head 1–0 against Karolina Muchova since 2025 across 1 meetings. Upcoming context: WTA Berlin - 1/8-finals, WTA Berlin - 1/8-finals, clay court, 2026-06-18. Match odds (Pinnacle): Madison Keys 1.91, Karolina Muchova 1.98.
Head-to-Head metrics (per match average, last 10)
- 1st Serve In: Keys 69.5%, Muchova 66.2%
- Aces / match: Keys 1.9, Muchova 3.9
- BP Saved: Keys 54%, Muchova 30.1%
- BP Converted: Keys 44.1%, Muchova 23.2%
- Return Pts Won: Keys 46.4%, Muchova 46.5%
- Service Pts Won: Keys 64.6%, Muchova 53.1%
- Winners / match: Keys 27.8, Muchova 17.7
- Unforced Errors / match: Keys 39.8, Muchova 25.7
Performance profile (last 10 matches average)
- 1st serve in: Keys 69.5%, Muchova 66.2%
- aces per match: Keys 1.9, Muchova 3.9
- break points saved: Keys 54%, Muchova 30.1%
- break points converted: Keys 44.1%, Muchova 23.2%
- return points won: Keys 46.4%, Muchova 46.5%
- service points won: Keys 64.6%, Muchova 53.1%
Match control
- Dominance Score: Keys +9.8, Muchova +4.4
- Break Point Efficiency: Keys -1.9, Muchova -46.7
Rivalry momentum
- After 2025-08-03: Keys 1 wins, Muchova 0 wins in the rivalry.
Surface breakdown
- hard court H2H: Keys 1, Muchova 0
Recent form
- Madison Keys recent form (last 5 singles, 2025+): 4 wins, 1 losses — W, L, W, W, W
- Karolina Muchova recent form (last 5 singles, 2025+): 3 wins, 2 losses — W, L, W, W, L
Key rivalry stats
- Tiebreak sets won: Keys 1, Muchova 0.
- Deciding-set wins: Keys 1, Muchova 0.
Match history since 2025
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-03 | Montreal | Montreal - 1/8-finals | hard | 4-6 6-3 7-5 | Madison Keys |
- 2025-08-03 — Montreal (Montreal - 1/8-finals), hard: 4-6 6-3 7-5. Winner: Madison Keys.
MadisonKeys
H2H since 2025 · 1 meetings
Head-to-Head Metrics
Per match averages · last 10 · since 2025
Odds Movement
Pinnacle · 2 snapshots · pre-match
Keys0.5%Open → Now
1.90→1.91
Implied Δ
-0.2pp
Muchova0.5%Open → Now
1.99→1.98
Implied Δ
+0.2pp
Moneyline drift
first capture → pre-match closeKeys · Muchova
Performance Profile
Last 10 matches avg · since 2025
Match Control
Pressure & control · last 10 matches · since 2025
Dominance Score
Break Point Efficiency
Form Momentum
Cumulative singles wins · last 10 · since 2025
Surface Form
W–L on each court · last 10 singles · since 2025
Surface Breakdown
H2H wins by court · since 2025
Keys vs Muchova Preview
Match Overview
Keys, ranked 28, will face Muchova, ranked 10, in the WTA Berlin 1/8-finals on June 18, 2026. Both players are right-handed and stand at 178 cm. This match marks their second meeting in the dataset.
Head-to-Head History
Keys leads the head-to-head record against Muchova with one win and zero losses in the dataset. Their only previous encounter was on hard court at the Montreal tournament on August 3, 2025, where Keys won 4-6 6-3 7-5. They have not met on clay, grass, or indoor surfaces in the dataset.
Surface Analysis
This match will be played on clay. Keys has a recent singles record of 8 wins and 2 losses on clay, while Muchova has a recent singles record of 7 wins and 3 losses on clay. Recent singles on hard, grass, and indoor surfaces are limited in this dataset for both players.
Current Form
Keys enters this match with a recent form of 4 wins and 1 loss, including a current one-match winning streak. Muchova has a recent form of 3 wins and 2 losses, also on a one-match winning streak. Keys has won 80% of her recent matches, while Muchova has won 60%.
Key Factors
- Keys has a higher first serve percentage at 69.5% compared to Muchova's 66.2%.
- Muchova averages 3.9 aces per match, while Keys averages 1.9 aces per match.
- Keys has a better break points saved percentage at 54% compared to Muchova's 30.1%.
- Keys converts 44.1% of her break points, whereas Muchova converts 23.2%.
- Keys wins 64.6% of her service points, while Muchova wins 53.1%.