Alex De Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima — Head to Head

Alex De Minaur leads the head-to-head 1–0 against Brandon Nakashima since 2025 across 1 meetings. Upcoming context: London, Quarter-finals, grass court, 2026-06-19. Match odds (Pinnacle): Alex De Minaur 1.39, Brandon Nakashima 3.26.

H2H Record: Minaur vs Nakashima

  • Alex De Minaur 1–0 Brandon Nakashima since 2025 (1 meetings).
  • 2025-07-25 — Washington (Washington - Quarter-finals), hard: 6-4 6-4. Winner: Alex De Minaur.

Minaur Recent Form

  • Alex De Minaur recent form (last 5 singles, 2025+): 4 wins, 1 losses — W, W, L, W, W

Nakashima Recent Form

  • Brandon Nakashima recent form (last 5 singles, 2025+): 4 wins, 1 losses — W, W, L, W, W

Match Preview — London June 19, 2026

  • Alex De Minaur leads the head-to-head 1–0 against Brandon Nakashima since 2025 across 1 meetings. Upcoming context: London, Quarter-finals, grass court, 2026-06-19. Match odds (Pinnacle): Alex De Minaur 1.39, Brandon Nakashima 3.26.
  • 1st Serve In: Minaur 59.5%, Nakashima 67.5%
  • Aces / match: Minaur 3.1, Nakashima 6.9
  • BP Saved: Minaur 59.3%, Nakashima 15.8%
  • BP Converted: Minaur 48.8%, Nakashima 26.5%
  • Return Pts Won: Minaur 45.2%, Nakashima 39.2%
  • Service Pts Won: Minaur 64.2%, Nakashima 67%
  • Winners / match: Minaur 17.7, Nakashima 24.1
  • Unforced Errors / match: Minaur 19.4, Nakashima 24.8
  • 1st serve in: Minaur 59.5%, Nakashima 67.5%
  • aces per match: Minaur 3.1, Nakashima 6.9
  • break points saved: Minaur 59.3%, Nakashima 15.8%
  • break points converted: Minaur 48.8%, Nakashima 26.5%
  • return points won: Minaur 45.2%, Nakashima 39.2%
  • service points won: Minaur 64.2%, Nakashima 67%
  • Dominance Score: Minaur +8.4, Nakashima +6.2
  • Break Point Efficiency: Minaur +8.1, Nakashima -57.7

Head-to-Head metrics (per match average, last 10)

  • 1st Serve In: Minaur 59.5%, Nakashima 67.5%
  • Aces / match: Minaur 3.1, Nakashima 6.9
  • BP Saved: Minaur 59.3%, Nakashima 15.8%
  • BP Converted: Minaur 48.8%, Nakashima 26.5%
  • Return Pts Won: Minaur 45.2%, Nakashima 39.2%
  • Service Pts Won: Minaur 64.2%, Nakashima 67%
  • Winners / match: Minaur 17.7, Nakashima 24.1
  • Unforced Errors / match: Minaur 19.4, Nakashima 24.8

Performance profile (last 10 matches average)

  • 1st serve in: Minaur 59.5%, Nakashima 67.5%
  • aces per match: Minaur 3.1, Nakashima 6.9
  • break points saved: Minaur 59.3%, Nakashima 15.8%
  • break points converted: Minaur 48.8%, Nakashima 26.5%
  • return points won: Minaur 45.2%, Nakashima 39.2%
  • service points won: Minaur 64.2%, Nakashima 67%

Match control

  • Dominance Score: Minaur +8.4, Nakashima +6.2
  • Break Point Efficiency: Minaur +8.1, Nakashima -57.7

Rivalry momentum

  • After 2025-07-25: Minaur 1 wins, Nakashima 0 wins in the rivalry.

Surface breakdown

  • hard court H2H: Minaur 1, Nakashima 0

Key rivalry stats

  • Tiebreak sets won: Minaur 1, Nakashima 1.
  • Deciding-set wins: Minaur 0, Nakashima 2.

Match history since 2025

Alex De Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima direct meetings
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceScoreWinner
2025-07-25WashingtonWashington - Quarter-finalshard6-4 6-4Alex De Minaur
27yrs
4,060pts
1:0

H2H since 2025 · 1 meetings

hard 10
24yrs
188cm
Righthand
1,385pts

Head-to-Head Metrics

Per match averages · last 10 · since 2025

59.5%1st Serve In67.5%lead
3.1Aces / match6.9lead
lead59.3%BP Saved15.8%
lead48.8%BP Converted26.5%
lead45.2%Return Pts Won39.2%
64.2%Service Pts Won67%lead
17.7Winners / match24.1lead
19.4Unforced Errors / match24.8lead

Odds Movement

Pinnacle · 2 snapshots · pre-match

All lines today
AustraliaMinaur0.7%

Open → Now

1.391.40

Implied Δ

-0.5pp

USANakashima1.2%

Open → Now

3.293.25

Implied Δ

+0.4pp

Moneyline drift

first capture → pre-match close

Minaur · Nakashima

Performance Profile

Last 10 matches avg · since 2025

MinaurNakashima

Match Control

Pressure & control · last 10 matches · since 2025

Dominance Score

Minaur
+8.4
Nakashima
+6.2

Break Point Efficiency

Minaur
+8.1
Nakashima
-57.7

Form Momentum

Cumulative singles wins · last 10 · since 2025

Minaur: 7WNakashima: 6W

Surface Form

W–L on each court · last 10 singles · since 2025

Grasstoday
51 · 20
5
2
100% A
Clay
22 · 44
2
4
50% B

Surface Breakdown

H2H wins by court · since 2025

Hard
1 meetings
1
0
100% A

Minaur vs Nakashima Preview

Match Overview

Minaur, ranked 6, will face Brandon Nakashima, ranked 32, in the Quarter-finals at London on grass. This match marks their second encounter in the dataset, with Minaur holding a 1-0 lead in their head-to-head.

Head-to-Head History

Minaur and Nakashima have met once in the dataset, with Minaur winning their previous encounter. That match took place on hard court at the Washington Quarter-finals on July 25, 2025, where Minaur secured a 6-4 6-4 victory.

Surface Analysis

This will be their first meeting on grass in the dataset. On grass, Minaur has a recent singles record of 5 wins and 1 loss, while Nakashima has a recent singles record of 2 wins and 0 losses. Recent singles matches on hard court and indoor surfaces are limited for both players in this dataset.

Current Form

Minaur enters this match with a recent form of 4 wins and 1 loss, including a current two-match winning streak. Nakashima also shows strong recent form with 4 wins and 1 loss, and is currently on a two-match winning streak.

Key Factors

  • Minaur has a better break points converted percentage (48.8%) compared to Nakashima (26.5%).
  • Nakashima has a higher first serve in percentage (67.5%) and averages more aces per match (6.9) than Minaur (3.1).
  • Minaur has a significantly higher break points saved percentage (59.3%) compared to Nakashima (15.8%).