Tatjana Maria vs Madison Keys — Head to Head

Tatjana Maria leads the head-to-head 1–0 against Madison Keys since 2025 across 1 meetings. Upcoming context: Eastbourne, Final, grass court, 2026-06-27. Match odds (Pinnacle): Tatjana Maria 3.98, Madison Keys 1.29.

H2H Record: Maria vs Keys

Tatjana Maria 1–0 Madison Keys since 2025 (1 meetings).
2025-06-14 — London (London - Semi-finals), grass: 6-3 7-6. Winner: Tatjana Maria.

Maria Recent Form

Tatjana Maria recent form (last 5 singles, 2025+): 4 wins, 1 losses — W, W, W, L, W

Keys Recent Form

Madison Keys recent form (last 5 singles, 2025+): 4 wins, 1 losses — W, W, W, L, W

Match Preview — Eastbourne June 27, 2026

Tatjana Maria leads the head-to-head 1–0 against Madison Keys since 2025 across 1 meetings. Upcoming context: Eastbourne, Final, grass court, 2026-06-27. Match odds (Pinnacle): Tatjana Maria 3.98, Madison Keys 1.29.
1st Serve In: Maria 62.1%, Keys 67.1%
Aces / match: Maria 6.4, Keys 3.1
BP Saved: Maria 49.7%, Keys 63.8%
BP Converted: Maria 51%, Keys 49.2%
Return Pts Won: Maria 47%, Keys 46.4%
Service Pts Won: Maria 63.6%, Keys 67.3%
Winners / match: Maria n/a, Keys 27.8
Unforced Errors / match: Maria n/a, Keys 39.8
1st serve in: Maria 62.1%, Keys 67.1%
aces per match: Maria 6.4, Keys 3.1
break points saved: Maria 49.7%, Keys 63.8%
break points converted: Maria 51%, Keys 49.2%
return points won: Maria 47%, Keys 46.4%
service points won: Maria 63.6%, Keys 67.3%
Dominance Score: Maria +10.6, Keys +12.2
Break Point Efficiency: Maria +0.7, Keys +13

Head-to-Head metrics (per match average, last 10)

1st Serve In: Maria 62.1%, Keys 67.1%
Aces / match: Maria 6.4, Keys 3.1
BP Saved: Maria 49.7%, Keys 63.8%
BP Converted: Maria 51%, Keys 49.2%
Return Pts Won: Maria 47%, Keys 46.4%
Service Pts Won: Maria 63.6%, Keys 67.3%
Winners / match: Maria n/a, Keys 27.8
Unforced Errors / match: Maria n/a, Keys 39.8

Performance profile (last 10 matches average)

1st serve in: Maria 62.1%, Keys 67.1%
aces per match: Maria 6.4, Keys 3.1
break points saved: Maria 49.7%, Keys 63.8%
break points converted: Maria 51%, Keys 49.2%
return points won: Maria 47%, Keys 46.4%
service points won: Maria 63.6%, Keys 67.3%

Match control

Dominance Score: Maria +10.6, Keys +12.2
Break Point Efficiency: Maria +0.7, Keys +13

Rivalry momentum

After 2025-06-14: Maria 1 wins, Keys 0 wins in the rivalry.

Surface breakdown

grass court H2H: Maria 1, Keys 0

Key rivalry stats

Tiebreak sets won: Maria 0, Keys 0.
Deciding-set wins: Maria 0, Keys 0.

Match history since 2025

Tatjana Maria vs Madison Keys direct meetings
Date	Tournament	Round	Surface	Score	Winner
2025-06-14	London	London - Semi-finals	grass	6-3 7-6	Tatjana Maria

#112

TatjanaMaria

38yrs

172cm

Righthand

695pts

1:0

H2H since 2025 · 1 meetings

grass 1–0

#27

MadisonKeys

31yrs

178cm

Righthand

1,685pts

Head-to-Head Metrics

Per match averages · last 10 · since 2025

62.1%1st Serve In67.1%lead

lead6.4Aces / match3.1

49.7%BP Saved63.8%lead

lead51%BP Converted49.2%

lead47%Return Pts Won46.4%

63.6%Service Pts Won67.3%lead

—Winners / match27.8lead

—Unforced Errors / match39.8lead

Odds Movement

Pinnacle · 2 snapshots · pre-match

All lines today

Maria0.7%

Open → Now

4.01→3.98

Implied Δ

+0.2pp

Keys0.8%

Open → Now

1.28→1.29

Implied Δ

-0.6pp

Moneyline drift

first capture → pre-match close

Maria · Keys

Performance Profile

Last 10 matches avg · since 2025

MariaKeys

Match Control

Pressure & control · last 10 matches · since 2025

Dominance Score

Maria

+10.6

Keys

+12.2

Break Point Efficiency

Maria

+0.7

Keys

+13

Form Momentum

Cumulative singles wins · last 10 · since 2025

Maria: 8WKeys: 8W

Surface Form

W–L on each court · last 10 singles · since 2025

Grasstoday

8–2 · 3–0

100% A

Clay

0–0 · 5–2

71% B

Surface Breakdown

H2H wins by court · since 2025

Grass

1 meetings

100% A

Maria vs Keys Preview

Match Overview

This match features Tatjana Maria and Madison Keys. Maria, ranked 112, will face Keys, who is ranked 27. Both players are right-handed, with Maria standing at 172 cm and Keys at 178 cm.

Head-to-Head History

Tatjana Maria leads the head-to-head record against Madison Keys with 1 win to 0. Their only meeting in the dataset occurred on grass at the London Semi-finals on 2025-06-14, where Maria won 6-3 7-6.

Surface Analysis

This match is being played on grass. Tatjana Maria has a recent singles record of 8 wins and 2 losses on grass, while Madison Keys has a recent singles record of 3 wins and 0 losses on grass. In their direct head-to-head on grass, Maria holds a 1-0 advantage over Keys.

Current Form

Tatjana Maria enters this match with a current form streak of 3 wins. Madison Keys also comes into the match with a 3-win streak. Both players have a recent form win percentage of 80% with 4 wins in their last 5 matches.

Key Factors

Madison Keys has a higher first serve percentage at 67.1% compared to Tatjana Maria's 62.1%.
Tatjana Maria averages 6.4 aces per match, while Madison Keys averages 3.1 aces per match.
Madison Keys has a better break points saved percentage at 63.8% compared to Tatjana Maria's 49.7%.
Tatjana Maria has a slightly higher break points converted percentage at 51% against Madison Keys' 49.2%.
Madison Keys wins 67.3% of her service points, whereas Tatjana Maria wins 63.6%.

Tatjana Maria vs Madison Keys — Head to Head

H2H Record: Maria vs Keys

Maria Recent Form

Keys Recent Form

Match Preview — Eastbourne June 27, 2026

Head-to-Head metrics (per match average, last 10)

Performance profile (last 10 matches average)

Match control

Rivalry momentum

Surface breakdown

Key rivalry stats

Match history since 2025

TatjanaMaria

MadisonKeys

Head-to-Head Metrics

Odds Movement

Moneyline drift

Performance Profile

Match Control

Dominance Score

Break Point Efficiency

Form Momentum

Surface Form

Surface Breakdown

Maria vs Keys Preview

Match Overview

Head-to-Head History

Surface Analysis

Current Form

Key Factors

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